Stopping Climate Change Is MUCH Cheaper than Purported

06 Apr, 2012

by James West, via Grist.org

Pocket change—the actual cost of fixing the climateYou’ve heard it before: Politicians say they’d love to take action against cli­mate change, but they’re reel­ing from sticker shock. A new report from the U.K.’s lead­ing cli­mate change watch­dog refutes this oft-cited argu­ment that cli­mate action will her­ald eco­nomic Armageddon.

The Committee on Climate Change (CCC) report, with the hairy-sounding title “Statutory Advice on Inclusion of International Aviation and Shipping,” says that in 2050, the U.K.’s emis­sions reduc­tions across the whole econ­omy will cost 1 to 2 per­cent of the total GDP. This updates, in greater detail, the range pre­dicted half a decade ago by the water­shed Stern Review.

Just how much is that? For a rough com­par­i­son, one per­cent of the U.K.’s 2011 GDP is a lit­tle more than what the coun­try cur­rently spends on pub­lic hous­ing and com­mu­nity ameni­ties, and is nowhere near the big-ticket pub­lic spend­ing items like healthcare.

The U.K. has enshrined in law an emis­sions reduc­tion of 80 per­cent on 1990 lev­els by 2050.

“It’s a very com­pelling eco­nomic case to act,” says David Kennedy, CEO of the CCC, an inde­pen­dent statu­tory body charged with advis­ing par­lia­ment on all things cli­mate. “You don’t need rad­i­cal behav­ior and lifestyle change to achieve our cli­mate objec­tives. It’s a very, very small impact on growth. And what you get for that is a whole range of eco­nomic benefits.”

This table from the report details the cost in 2050 of meet­ing emis­sions reduc­tions in a few dif­fer­ent sce­nar­ios, includ­ing if fuel prices are high or low:

The report says that cost is not an imped­i­ment, even when fac­tor­ing into the mix inter­na­tional avi­a­tion and ship­ping, two sec­tors that have pre­vi­ously been left out of the U.K. government’s car­bon budgets.

Cost is a famil­iar argu­ment against cli­mate action for U.S. read­ers. As pres­i­dent, George W. Bush refused to rat­ify the Kyoto Protocol, call­ing it a job killer that placed unfair eco­nomic bur­dens on the U.S. while let­ting poorer coun­tries off the hook. And in Congress, the ill-fated cap-and-trade bill of 2009 fell vic­tim, in part, to argu­ments that con­sumers would foot the bill by pay­ing more for elec­tric­ity. The Heritage Foundation said cap-and-trade could raise the aver­age family’s annual energy bill by $1,241. House Republicans called it “a light switch tax that would cost every American house­hold $3,128 a year,” a state­ment that has been widely dis­puted.

But Kennedy says talk of eco­nomic melt­down is wrong. “They talk about the econ­omy being closed down, about an ‘end to growth.’ Well, that is frankly non­sense, and the debate should be around the cor­rect number.”

Click here to read the rest of this arti­cle at Grist.org.

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